Refinitiv Commodities Research has lowered its forecast for the production of soft wheat in the EU in 2023/24 by 1.7 million tons compared to the previous estimate to 132.2 million tons (126.7 in 2022/23).
The Union of Grain Exporters of Russia set a minimum export price for wheat with 12.5% protein of 275 USD/ton FOB, below which it is not appropriate to export.
According to a forecast of the Russian Grain Union, grain exports from Russia will reach 62 million tons in 2022/23, and 46 million tons have been exported so far.
The Ministry of Agriculture of Russia may recommend that Russian farmers stop exporting wheat and sunseed oil given the low world prices. This news on Friday have led to the sharp increases on the grain markets around the world and a development on this is now expected.
According to a forecast by SAFRAS&Mercado, corn exports from Brazil will be 40 million tons in 2022/23 (46.6 in 2021/22), and the decline is due to the regular extension of the Ukrainian grain corridor.
Agroconsult raised its forecast for the 2022/23 soybean production in Brazil by 2 million tons to 155 million tons (+29.5 vs. 2021/22) despite the drought in Rio Grande do Sul, exports are projected at 96 million tons (78.7) and processing in the country is estimated at 53.9 million tons (+4.5).
In their March report, IGC analysts forecast a 2023/24 grain production in Russia of 124.3 million tons (138.2 in 2022/23). Grain exports will be 51 million tons (51.8).
The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange lowered its forecast for the 2022/23 soybean production in Argentina to 25 million tons (29 in the previous estimate), which is the lowest level since 1990/21 to date - 20.1 million tons.
