From the start of the season until October 1, 2023, the EU has exported 7.39 million tons of soft wheat (9.77 million tons the previous year), with the largest exporters being Romania with 2.03 million tons, Poland with 1.45 million tons, France with 1.29 million tons, Bulgaria with 937,000 tons, and Germany with 677,000 tons.
According to the latest StoneX forecast, the corn production in the United States in 2023/24 will reach 386.1 million tons (+2.5 compared to the previous estimate and 348.4 in 2022/23).
As of September 29, 2023, Russia has harvested 125.3 million tons of grain (-15.8 compared to 2022/23), including 88.6 million tons of wheat (101.8) and 20.9 million tons of barley (23.9).
The European Commission forecasts a wheat production of 125.3 million tons in the EU for the 2023/24 season (compared to 126.1 in the previous estimate and 125.7 in 2022/23).
According to the forecast by Refinitiv Commodities Research, the wheat production in 2023/24 in Australia is expected to reach 24.8 million tons, which is a decrease of 2.2 million tons compared to the previous estimate and a 15 million ton decrease compared to 2022/23.
In 2023/24, grain production in India is expected to reach 332 million tons, which is an increase of 1.5% compared to the previous year (2022/23), including a winter production of 161.2 million tons.
According to government data for the week of September 18 - 24, Brazil exported 2.4 million tons of corn, which is 4% more than the previous week, and 1.3 million tons of soybeans (-7%).
In 2022/23, China imported 5.1 million tons of canola. The high figure is due to the large canola production in Australia in 2022 and renewed imports from Canada.
According to StoneX's forecast, the wheat production in Australia for 2023/24 is expected to reach only 24 million tons (-1 compared to the previous estimate and -36% compared to 2022/23).
In almost the entire Brazil, very high temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius are being reported, which will hinder the planting of soybeans for the 2023/24 crop. In the states of Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, and Goiás, temperatures are reaching 45-46 degrees Celsius.
